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2024-12-14 03:10:25

3. Robots constantly produce new catalysis.Therefore, in the near future, everyone should continue to avoid the big ticket of institutional+foreign heavy positions and let them play by themselves. Let's make a small U-turn. Now there are enough market themes. Just focus on one or two core optimistic directions (technology and consumption), and don't switch frequently. Grasp the rhythm and the probability of making money is still very high.The heavy meeting said to stabilize the stock market. Yesterday, the big A was really stable, and the index didn't rise much. However, more than 3,800 stocks rose, with the median price increase and decrease of +0.9%. Low prices, small and medium-sized microdisks, technology and consumption are still the mainstream!


The current position of the market is in the circle. Generally speaking, when the market starts to rise, it is always unconscious to most people, because many people are aware of it after seeing the facts. It used to be said that stock trading is "seven-point mentality, two-point technology and one-point luck". I think this statement is correct, but in A shares, it is more accurate to change the mentality to policy+mentality. Although the stock markets all over the world are policy markets, A shares are more obvious.Take the monthly index in the above figure as an example to illustrate:Take the monthly index in the above figure as an example to illustrate:


In a bull market, the market is full of liquidity and investors have a high risk appetite, and the stock price is generally higher than the intrinsic value. In a bear market, expectations are pessimistic and liquidity is exhausted, and the stock price is generally lower than the intrinsic value. Although the stock price will deviate from the intrinsic value most of the time, the stock price is infinitely close to the intrinsic value for a long time.1. Individual pension funds will be expanded to broad-based index products.The above four long-term technical indicators all show that the market trend has changed, from bears to cattle. As far as the general direction and technical indicators are concerned, the market is now on the road to a bull market, and I think the probability is 100%, and there is no contingency.

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